IPL 2025 Playoffs: Can Royal Challengers Bengaluru Still Make the Top Two? All Scenarios Explained

 With the Tata IPL 2025 Match Predictions heating up, Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) find themselves in a must-win situation heading into the final leg of the league stage. After their 42-run defeat to Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) in Lucknow, RCB have not only lost valuable momentum but also slipped from second to third place in the points table. The loss significantly dented their net run rate, dropping it from +0.482 to +0.255—putting their chances of finishing in the top two and qualifying for Qualifier 1 in jeopardy. Winexch offers the best IPL Prediction Site in 2025.



Current Standings and Implications

As it stands, RCB have collected 17 points from 13 matches. Gujarat Titans (GT) lead the chart with 18 points from 13 games, while Punjab Kings (PBKS) are right behind with 17 points but with a game in hand. This places RCB in a tight spot where not just their own result, but the outcomes of other fixtures will play a pivotal role in determining their playoff fate.

Remaining Key Fixtures in the League Stage:

  • Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals – May 24

  • Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings – May 25

  • Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians – May 26

  • Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru – May 27

Scenario 1: RCB Miss Out on the Top Two

If RCB lose their final match against Lucknow Super Giants (LSG), they will remain on 17 points. In that case, if Gujarat Titans win their last game to reach 20 points and Punjab Kings win both of their remaining matches to reach 21 points, RCB will slide down the table and miss the top two entirely.

Even if RCB beat LSG and reach 19 points, they could still be pushed out of the top two if both GT and PBKS win their respective remaining matches. GT will finish on 20 points and PBKS will top the table with 21 points, leaving RCB in third place.

Scenario 2: RCB Make the Top Two

For Royal Challengers Bengaluru to secure a top-two finish and a spot in Qualifier 1, they must beat LSG on May 27 and hope for at least one of the following conditions to favor them:

Option 1: GT Lose to CSK
If Gujarat Titans lose their final match to Chennai Super Kings, they will remain on 18 points. In this case, even if PBKS win both matches and finish on 21 points, RCB will still take the second spot with 19 points.

Option 2: PBKS Lose at Least One Match
If Gujarat Titans win against CSK and finish on 20 points, RCB can still finish second if Punjab Kings lose at least one of their two matches. This would leave PBKS either on 19 points with a net run rate inferior to RCB or stuck on 17 points.

Here's how the standings would look ideally for RCB:

  • GT – 20 points

  • RCB – 19 points

  • PBKS – 19 points or 17 (depending on remaining matches)

But for this scenario to benefit RCB, PBKS must end up with a lower net run rate than RCB’s +0.255. Currently, PBKS hold a superior NRR of +0.389. Hence, a heavy defeat or narrow wins for PBKS could tilt the balance in RCB's favor.

What’s at Stake?

Finishing in the top two guarantees a team two chances to make it to the final, making it a coveted spot in the IPL playoffs. For RCB, who have been perennial title challengers without a trophy, qualifying for Qualifier 1 would significantly enhance their title hopes.

Final Thoughts

RCB’s clash against LSG is a do-or-die encounter not just to keep playoff hopes alive but to aim for the crucial top-two finish. Their destiny partially lies in their hands, but also hinges on how Gujarat Titans and Punjab Kings perform in their respective final league games.

As the playoff race intensifies, fans can stay updated with every twist and turn. Follow the complete IPL 2025 Schedule, monitor the latest IPL 2025 Points Table, and keep an eye on the Orange and Purple Cap leaders.

For real-time insights, Tata IPL 2025 Match Predictions, and exclusive updates, sign up on Winexch—your go-to platform for everything IPL 2025. Don’t miss out on the action!

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